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Mark Martin is off to a horrible start, but he averages a 17.2 running position.

Loop Data shows marquee names hanging on bubble

Martin, Newman in danger of bouncing out of top 35


March 20, 2009
03:17 PM EDT
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After this weekend's Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway, the top 35 cars in 2009 owner points will be guaranteed a starting spot in each week's race (for the first five races, the 2008 owner points were used).

That could spell trouble for two marquee drivers: Mark Martin and Ryan Newman.

Martin's No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet sits exactly on the top-35 bubble -- in 35th place, nine points ahead of the No. 8 Earnhardt Ganassi Chevrolet driven by Aric Almirola.

Newman enjoys a slightly more comfortable position -- 32nd, 38 points ahead of Almirola.

Below are their stats through four races this season:

Driver Avg. Finish Avg. Running Pos. Fastest Laps Run Laps Top 15% Driver Rating Laps Led
R. Newman 27.8 24.1 10 30.3% 62.4 3
M. Martin 31.8 17.2 31 60.3% 86.4 7

The above numbers illustrate the bad luck Martin has encountered this season (whereas Newman's statistics generally match his standings position). In fact, Martin ranks in the top 15 in most key Loop Data statistics. For instance:

2009 Cup Loop Data

Driver Rating, Average Running Position and Fastest Laps Run
Pos. Driver Driver Rating   Pos. Driver Avg. Run Pos.   Pos. Driver Fastest Laps Run
1. Jeff Gordon 120.5   1. Jeff Gordon 5.818   1. Jeff Gordon 100
2. Kurt Busch 108.2   2. Jimmie Johnson 8.487   2. Kurt Busch 94
3. Carl Edwards 104.3   3. Kurt Busch 8.507   3. Greg Biffle 90
4. Jimmie Johnson 104.2   4. Carl Edwards 8.583   4. Jimmie Johnson 81
5. Kyle Busch 104.0   5. Denny Hamlin 11.389   5. Kyle Busch 59
13. Mark Martin 86.4   14. Mark Martin 17.167   7. Mark Martin 31

The statistics suggest that sooner or later luck should turn for Martin. But the big question could be this: After a two-year Bristol layoff, how will Martin fare?

When Martin switched to a partial schedule after the 2006 season, the Bristol races got cut from his slate. In his career, Martin has two wins there, but the last came in 1998. In the last 12 races, Martin has finished inside the top 10 only once. In his last four races since the inception of Loop Data in 2005, he has only scored one Driver Rating higher than 100:

Mark Martin

Bristol Motor Speedway (Last Four Races)
Date Finish Avg. Run Pos. Fastest Laps Run Laps T-15% Rating Laps Led
4/05 31 23.0 1 22.8% 53.2 0
8/05 16 13.9 3 72.8% 82.2 0
3/06 6 8.1 13 99.2% 103.6 0
8/06 28 28.7 7 12.6% 56.6 0
Total 20.3 18.4 24 51.9% 73.9 0

Newman has been hit or miss at Bristol -- but mostly hit. He has scored top-10 finishes in four of the last six races. His numbers in that span:

Ryan Newman

Bristol Motor Speedway (Last Six Races)
Date Finish Avg. Run Pos. Fastest Laps Run Laps T-15% Rating Laps Led
3/06 9 12.1 9 66.6% 90.3 0
8/06 8 10.8 8 93.4% 93.8 0
3/07 39 31.6 11 0.2% 53.9 0
8/07 7 5.0 28 100% 112.5 2
3/08 33 29.8 11 13.4% 55.6 0
8/08 6 6.2 21 100% 109.0 0
Total 17.0 15.9 88 62.3% 85.9 2

The End

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